Monday, December 31, 2018

You May Read Me on Unz Review Too.

1. I got my first piece published on Unz Review today, so you may check it out there

2. You can read my piece on some peculiarities of Russo-Chinese "alliance" at Unz Review. Here:

The Russo-Chinese "Alliance" Explained 

Tuesday, January 2, 2018

Let's Try Q & A And Whatever Else Sticky Post

Here is the post which I will try to keep sticky for people to ask questions and share their thoughts which are not on topic. This, I think is known as Open Thread. Fire away.

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Slowly but Surely.

Poland's Defense Minister Antoni Macierewicz is slowly but surely hitting the bottom. In his latest statement he went for jugular, he accused USSR in... Holocaust.   

USSR is Responsible for Holocaust (in Polish)

I witnessed many things in my life which left me either speechless or scratching my head, but this guy he is not just certifiably insane, he also sings from the old script written not in Poland. In the end, this diagram may explain why: 

Truth be damned (and it largely has been already in the combined "West") but in view of many the history of WWII MUST be rewritten and this desire does not originate in Poland, it is just that current Polish "elites" are true believers and as such are a very good instrument, for now. "Those who control the past control the future", Orwell got that right. Attempts to rewrite the history of WWII will continue, financed both from the US, for obvious reasons, and through other NGOs. In Poland this problem is exacerbated by the sense of closing window for cheap credit, investments and, in general, EU welfare against some pretty grim economic and geopolitical trends unfolding in a front of the West. So, Poland, apart from demanding reparations from Germany (good luck with that), now decided to up the ante with Russia. Obviously, Russians, who liberated concentration camps during WWII may have a very different opinion of who really perpetuated or helped perpetuate the Holocaust. After all, unlike Macierewicz' statement that Polish Army handled Wehrmacht just fine, that is until USSR "stabbed Poland in the back", so far Poland performed great only in one type of warfare--demolishing monuments and now, finally, Soviet military cemeteries. I wonder why attacks on monuments on Confederacy were so fanatical? As one neocon noted recently:

I have some news for this Ph.D--it is about rewriting the history and always was. Hopefully, by 2019 Russians will have fewer and fewer relations with Poland and it is probably for the better--the voice for returning the remains of hundreds of thousands Soviet soldiers who lost their lives liberating Poland in WWII are becoming louder and louder in Russia. After all, the time when it will be an American GI, not Soviet Ivan, who liberated Auschwitz are not that far away. As diagram above shows just another small push and Winston Smith's idea that "2+2=4, everything follows from here" will be, finally, gone. 

Friday, September 1, 2017

Needles And Pins.

Of course, the debate who did it best will continue forever but, while The Searchers' version of Jack Nitzsche and Sony Bono's pop-masterpiece is wonderful:

These were Smokie who gave this hit a monstrous sound wall substance. Choose your own version but because my first kisses and dances with actual girls (not pillows) fell to the mid to late 1970s and this was shown on Soviet TV often, I have to go with Smokie's version with their incredible vocals and Chris Norman's immediately recognizable voice:

Enjoy your Labor Day weekend....   

Thursday, August 31, 2017

Blank Is...Well, Blank

It would have been a complete LOL if it wouldn't have been so pathetic and dangerous. American Russian "studies" field (that is mostly collection of amateurs with all kinds of useless Ph.D degrees in history and political "science") is in despair. It hates Russian guts so much that it did descend into a complete madness. Here is the guy who is, supposedly, a Russian "scholar", moreover he taught Russian/Soviet whatever BS is taught there in US Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College. His name is Dr. Stephen Blank. Now get what this guy, who has all those "national security studies" Ph.Ds, offers in his hysterical piece at, where else, Atlantic Council. I quote:

The limits to Russia’s capacity for military escalation are actually becoming clearer. The situation calls for continuing and extending those costs, while leaving the door open for serious negotiation when Moscow is truly ready.In practice this means that Washington should send US Navy warships into the Sea of Azov through the Kerch Strait to demonstrate our commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and integrity and the freedom of navigation on the seas, which has been a cornerstone of US foreign policy since 1789. (This is similar to what the United States is doing in the South China Sea.) And NATO should do the same thing. Another way to impose costs on Russia is to give Ukraine the defensive weapons it needs and has requested to fight aggression. Not only is this in keeping with US policy since 1947, it also shows Putin and his cronies that he cannot redraw borders or disrespect the United States without paying the price. 

Obviously this "internationally renown" "professor" just made out of himself a complete moron (he, most likely, was the one to start with) since no sane person would suggest sending any serious combat ship into the Azov Sea whose deepest part is... 15 meters. While it's average depth is... 7 meters. For our "respected" scholar, who also managed to consult CIA throughout his "illustrious" career, the average draft of US Navy's  DDG of Arleigh Burke-class, a main surface combatant America has, is... drum roll... 9.3 meters. Obviously, it is not in fine tradition of an American "national security studies" to know what isobath is, but hey, they don't teach that there. I am sure if Mr. Blank will gather his will in one mighty fist he may even develop a "strategy" of deployment of US Navy's mighty carrier battle groups into Azov Sea--right under the nose of Russia's cruise missiles and Naval and Air Forces. So, my friends, the signs of a complete meltdown in American "intellectual" field are becoming overwhelming. It has to be stated that it was like this most of the post-WWII period, with some exceptions, of course. Now, in the world of free information exchange the imbecility and warmongering of US so called "elites" is being paraded globally, for everyone to see. Sheer incompetence, lack of academic and human culture, ignorant chauvinism, egos larger than cathedrals and a disastrous record in any field of the "national security studies" have become a defining feature of these "elites". Their academic and moral bankruptcy can not be hidden anymore. Luckily, real America, which does not reside in the dormitories of the large coastal liberal universities and in suburbia of large coastal cities, does understand what is going on. Will this America's voice be heard again as it was in November 2016? Meanwhile I would suggest Dr.Blank try himself in the field of open heart surgery or in quantum mechanics, I am sure he will excel there the same as he did in his Russian "studies". At least in open heart surgery he may kill only one unlucky person, as opposed to a nightmare he proposes in his insane piece--consequences then could be catastrophic for everyone on the planet.   

Wednesday, August 30, 2017

2017 Military Strength Ranking.

New, 2017, Global Military Strength Ranking has been published. You can read original here. Those who read this blog for some time know well that generally I treat all those rankings with a great deal of irony, if not outright sarcasm--most of all those ranking fail in the most important "metric" which is, of course, what for this military power. Without answering this question all those rankings are just the waste of time and energy. In the end, real professional considerations have been formulated not for once, including often quoted by me Admiral Stanfield Turner in his 1976 interview Who Has The Best Navy to CSM. But the deal is done and we may as well pay attention to such a ranking and I have an issue with the fact that Egypt's military power somehow ended sandwiched between Italy and Germany. As the Global Fire Power reports, Egypt has two aircraft carriers and for that, as site accountants profess, Egypt should get bonus points. Well, it is all fine and dandy except for one thing--Egypt doesn't have aircraft carriers. What Egypt has, and what passes there as "carriers", are two, thankfully never sold to Russia, glorified ferries of the Mistral-class which are anything but classic aircraft carriers in normal meaning of this word and are nothing more than Amphibious Assault Ships good only for disembarking some sort of a marines' force, granted, in case of Egyptian Mistrals, supported by very capable attack helicopters KA-52.  Moreover, even a brief overview of the Egyptian Navy shows that its submarine forces are 80% (4 out of 5 subs) consist of very good German submarines of  Type 209/1400, while surface fleet is, with the exception of a single French-built FREMM frigate and 4 Gowind-class corvettes, is of old and obsolete Western (mostly US Navy's second-hand) types. Now, even the brief look at Germany's Navy reveals that it is much newer in terms of ships than that of the Egypt. It also operates 6 state-of-the-art Type 212 subs which, considering a very good level of German submariners, can... well, let's put it this way, will have no problems sinking those two Egypt's "aircraft carriers". Italy's Navy, meanwhile, has two genuine STOVL carriers which, unlike Mistrals, carry actual fixed wing aircraft. But in general, I would not rate nations which do not manufacture own weapon systems very high in such ratings. Both Germany and Italy they do produce many of those indigenous domestic and in cooperation weapon systems. This is absolutely not the case with Egypt which is almost entirely dependent on external supply of weapons.  

 So yes, I do have issues with such rankings, or, rather, criteria. But then again, I use this enclosed technological cycle argument non-stop. In other words, do not put too much faith in such rankings, indexes, what have you--they do not reflect most important metric which is the ability to conduct complex and sustained operations. Of course those operations must rest on a solid real economy base and in this sense Global Fire Power does much better job than very many other indexes but still, as I wrote in a whole series of my posts on Military Power, much more goes into it than mere material things, however important they are. In general, presence of any Arab military near the top of such lists (rankings) is always questionable. After all, Saudis have military budget in absolute dollar amount only $6 billion less than military budget of Russia, Saudis also have a lot of expensive military toys but nobody in their own mind will compare militarily (or firepower-wise) Russia and Saudi Arabia. But, of course, 35th place of Ukraine, which, in accordance to its President, has the strongest Army in Europe. After all, it has to be--to fight for three plus years those damn Russkies and not allow them to capture Kiev--one has to be really good. So, sure, and I am, meanwhile, Elvis Presley.